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As of 2026-10-16, CycleBottom rates Hang Seng Index (HSI) at a risk level of 0.584 on a 0–1 scale — Moderate-high risk. Hang Seng Index is trading at 24,187 versus its 365-day moving average of 25,297 (0.96× the average), which places it modestly overvalued. Lower risk values mark historically cheaper, accumulation-friendly prices; higher values mark distribution territory. This is informational only and not financial advice.
| Risk | Zone | Hang Seng Index Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | 12,940 | -46.5% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | 13,652 | -43.6% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | 14,404 | -40.4% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | 15,197 | -37.2% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | 16,034 | -33.7% |
| 0.25 | Low risk | 16,916 | -30.1% |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | 17,848 | -26.2% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | 18,830 | -22.1% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | 19,867 | -17.9% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | 20,961 | -13.3% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | 22,115 | -8.6% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | 23,333 | -3.5% |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | 24,617 | +1.8% ◄ current |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | 25,973 | +7.4% |
| 0.70 | High risk | 27,402 | +13.3% |
| 0.75 | High risk | 28,911 | +19.5% |
| 0.80 | High risk | 30,503 | +26.1% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | 32,182 | +33.1% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | 33,954 | +40.4% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | 35,823 | +48.1% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | 37,796 | +56.3% |
As of 2026-10-16, Hang Seng Index (HSI) has a CycleBottom risk level of 0.584 on a 0–1 scale, which is rated "Moderate-high risk". The value is updated daily.
Based on its risk level of 0.584 (0 = cheapest, 1 = most expensive), Hang Seng Index is currently modestly overvalued. It trades at 0.96× its 365-day moving average.
The risk metric takes the logarithmic deviation of price from its 365-day simple moving average, optionally applies a diminishing-returns adjustment, then normalizes the result to a 0–1 scale using cumulative min-max scaling. Values near 0 are historically cheap; values near 1 are historically expensive.
CycleBottom does not give buy or sell advice. A low risk level (below ~0.3) historically coincided with accumulation zones and a high risk level (above ~0.7) with distribution zones, but this metric is educational only and not financial advice. Hang Seng Index's risk level is currently 0.584 (Moderate-high risk).