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As of 2026-10-19, CycleBottom rates US Dollar (USDHKD) at a risk level of 0.680 on a 0–1 scale — Moderate-high risk. US Dollar is trading at 7.8471 versus its 365-day moving average of 7.8384 (1.00× the average), which places it modestly overvalued. Lower risk values mark historically cheaper, accumulation-friendly prices; higher values mark distribution territory. This is informational only and not financial advice.
| Risk | Zone | USD/HKD Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | 7.6847 | -2.1% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | 7.6965 | -1.9% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | 7.7083 | -1.8% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | 7.7202 | -1.6% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | 7.7321 | -1.5% |
| 0.25 | Low risk | 7.7440 | -1.3% |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | 7.7559 | -1.2% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | 7.7678 | -1.0% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | 7.7798 | -0.9% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | 7.7917 | -0.7% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | 7.8037 | -0.6% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | 7.8157 | -0.4% |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | 7.8278 | -0.2% |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | 7.8398 | -0.1% |
| 0.70 | High risk | 7.8519 | +0.1% ◄ current |
| 0.75 | High risk | 7.8640 | +0.2% |
| 0.80 | High risk | 7.8761 | +0.4% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | 7.8882 | +0.5% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | 7.9003 | +0.7% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | 7.9125 | +0.8% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | 7.9247 | +1.0% |
As of 2026-10-19, US Dollar (USDHKD) has a CycleBottom risk level of 0.680 on a 0–1 scale, which is rated "Moderate-high risk". The value is updated daily.
Based on its risk level of 0.680 (0 = cheapest, 1 = most expensive), US Dollar is currently modestly overvalued. It trades at 1.00× its 365-day moving average.
The risk metric takes the logarithmic deviation of price from its 365-day simple moving average, optionally applies a diminishing-returns adjustment, then normalizes the result to a 0–1 scale using cumulative min-max scaling. Values near 0 are historically cheap; values near 1 are historically expensive.
CycleBottom does not give buy or sell advice. A low risk level (below ~0.3) historically coincided with accumulation zones and a high risk level (above ~0.7) with distribution zones, but this metric is educational only and not financial advice. US Dollar's risk level is currently 0.680 (Moderate-high risk).