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As of 2026-10-19, CycleBottom rates New Zealand Dollar (NZDHKD) at a risk level of 0.618 on a 0–1 scale — Moderate-high risk. New Zealand Dollar is trading at 4.4362 versus its 365-day moving average of 4.5527 (0.97× the average), which places it modestly overvalued. Lower risk values mark historically cheaper, accumulation-friendly prices; higher values mark distribution territory. This is informational only and not financial advice.
| Risk | Zone | NZD/HKD Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | 3.1792 | -28.3% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | 3.2661 | -26.4% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | 3.3553 | -24.4% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | 3.4470 | -22.3% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | 3.5411 | -20.2% |
| 0.25 | Low risk | 3.6379 | -18.0% |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | 3.7372 | -15.8% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | 3.8393 | -13.5% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | 3.9442 | -11.1% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | 4.0520 | -8.7% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | 4.1626 | -6.2% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | 4.2764 | -3.6% |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | 4.3932 | -1.0% ◄ current |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | 4.5132 | +1.7% |
| 0.70 | High risk | 4.6365 | +4.5% |
| 0.75 | High risk | 4.7631 | +7.4% |
| 0.80 | High risk | 4.8932 | +10.3% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | 5.0269 | +13.3% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | 5.1642 | +16.4% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | 5.3053 | +19.6% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | 5.4502 | +22.9% |
As of 2026-10-19, New Zealand Dollar (NZDHKD) has a CycleBottom risk level of 0.618 on a 0–1 scale, which is rated "Moderate-high risk". The value is updated daily.
Based on its risk level of 0.618 (0 = cheapest, 1 = most expensive), New Zealand Dollar is currently modestly overvalued. It trades at 0.97× its 365-day moving average.
The risk metric takes the logarithmic deviation of price from its 365-day simple moving average, optionally applies a diminishing-returns adjustment, then normalizes the result to a 0–1 scale using cumulative min-max scaling. Values near 0 are historically cheap; values near 1 are historically expensive.
CycleBottom does not give buy or sell advice. A low risk level (below ~0.3) historically coincided with accumulation zones and a high risk level (above ~0.7) with distribution zones, but this metric is educational only and not financial advice. New Zealand Dollar's risk level is currently 0.618 (Moderate-high risk).