As of 2026-08-03, CycleBottom rates Euro (EURHKD) at a risk level of 0.608 on a 0–1 scale — Moderate-high risk. Euro is trading at 9.0421 versus its 365-day moving average of 9.0783 (1.00× the average), which places it modestly overvalued. Lower risk values mark historically cheaper, accumulation-friendly prices; higher values mark distribution territory. This is informational only and not financial advice.
| Risk | Zone | EUR/HKD Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | 7.2969 | -19.3% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | 7.4267 | -17.9% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | 7.5588 | -16.4% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | 7.6932 | -14.9% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | 7.8300 | -13.4% |
| 0.25 | Low risk | 7.9692 | -11.9% |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | 8.1109 | -10.3% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | 8.2551 | -8.7% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | 8.4019 | -7.1% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | 8.5513 | -5.4% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | 8.7034 | -3.7% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | 8.8581 | -2.0% |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | 9.0157 | -0.3% ◄ current |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | 9.1760 | +1.5% |
| 0.70 | High risk | 9.3391 | +3.3% |
| 0.75 | High risk | 9.5052 | +5.1% |
| 0.80 | High risk | 9.6742 | +7.0% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | 9.8463 | +8.9% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | 10.0213 | +10.8% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | 10.1995 | +12.8% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | 10.3809 | +14.8% |
As of 2026-08-03, Euro (EURHKD) has a CycleBottom risk level of 0.608 on a 0–1 scale, which is rated "Moderate-high risk". The value is updated daily.
Based on its risk level of 0.608 (0 = cheapest, 1 = most expensive), Euro is currently modestly overvalued. It trades at 1.00× its 365-day moving average.
The risk metric takes the logarithmic deviation of price from its 365-day simple moving average, optionally applies a diminishing-returns adjustment, then normalizes the result to a 0–1 scale using cumulative min-max scaling. Values near 0 are historically cheap; values near 1 are historically expensive.
CycleBottom does not give buy or sell advice. A low risk level (below ~0.3) historically coincided with accumulation zones and a high risk level (above ~0.7) with distribution zones, but this metric is educational only and not financial advice. Euro's risk level is currently 0.608 (Moderate-high risk).