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As of 2026-10-19, CycleBottom rates Euro (EURUSD) at a risk level of 0.530 on a 0–1 scale — Neutral. Euro is trading at 1.1230 versus its 365-day moving average of 1.1539 (0.97× the average), which places it near fair value. Lower risk values mark historically cheaper, accumulation-friendly prices; higher values mark distribution territory. This is informational only and not financial advice.
| Risk | Zone | EUR/USD Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | 0.9261 | -17.5% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | 0.9431 | -16.0% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | 0.9604 | -14.5% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | 0.9780 | -12.9% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | 0.9959 | -11.3% |
| 0.25 | Low risk | 1.0142 | -9.7% |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | 1.0328 | -8.0% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | 1.0518 | -6.3% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | 1.0711 | -4.6% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | 1.0907 | -2.9% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | 1.1107 | -1.1% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | 1.1311 | +0.7% ◄ current |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | 1.1519 | +2.6% |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | 1.1730 | +4.5% |
| 0.70 | High risk | 1.1945 | +6.4% |
| 0.75 | High risk | 1.2164 | +8.3% |
| 0.80 | High risk | 1.2388 | +10.3% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | 1.2615 | +12.3% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | 1.2846 | +14.4% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | 1.3082 | +16.5% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | 1.3322 | +18.6% |
As of 2026-10-19, Euro (EURUSD) has a CycleBottom risk level of 0.530 on a 0–1 scale, which is rated "Neutral". The value is updated daily.
Based on its risk level of 0.530 (0 = cheapest, 1 = most expensive), Euro is currently near fair value. It trades at 0.97× its 365-day moving average.
The risk metric takes the logarithmic deviation of price from its 365-day simple moving average, optionally applies a diminishing-returns adjustment, then normalizes the result to a 0–1 scale using cumulative min-max scaling. Values near 0 are historically cheap; values near 1 are historically expensive.
CycleBottom does not give buy or sell advice. A low risk level (below ~0.3) historically coincided with accumulation zones and a high risk level (above ~0.7) with distribution zones, but this metric is educational only and not financial advice. Euro's risk level is currently 0.530 (Neutral).