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As of 2026-10-19, CycleBottom rates New Zealand Dollar (NZDUSD) at a risk level of 0.614 on a 0–1 scale — Moderate-high risk. New Zealand Dollar is trading at 0.5657 versus its 365-day moving average of 0.5811 (0.97× the average), which places it modestly overvalued. Lower risk values mark historically cheaper, accumulation-friendly prices; higher values mark distribution territory. This is informational only and not financial advice.
| Risk | Zone | NZD/USD Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | 0.4087 | -27.8% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | 0.4197 | -25.8% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | 0.4309 | -23.8% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | 0.4425 | -21.8% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | 0.4544 | -19.7% |
| 0.25 | Low risk | 0.4666 | -17.5% |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | 0.4791 | -15.3% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | 0.4919 | -13.0% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | 0.5051 | -10.7% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | 0.5187 | -8.3% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | 0.5326 | -5.8% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | 0.5469 | -3.3% |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | 0.5616 | -0.7% ◄ current |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | 0.5767 | +1.9% |
| 0.70 | High risk | 0.5921 | +4.7% |
| 0.75 | High risk | 0.6080 | +7.5% |
| 0.80 | High risk | 0.6243 | +10.4% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | 0.6411 | +13.3% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | 0.6583 | +16.4% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | 0.6759 | +19.5% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | 0.6941 | +22.7% |
As of 2026-10-19, New Zealand Dollar (NZDUSD) has a CycleBottom risk level of 0.614 on a 0–1 scale, which is rated "Moderate-high risk". The value is updated daily.
Based on its risk level of 0.614 (0 = cheapest, 1 = most expensive), New Zealand Dollar is currently modestly overvalued. It trades at 0.97× its 365-day moving average.
The risk metric takes the logarithmic deviation of price from its 365-day simple moving average, optionally applies a diminishing-returns adjustment, then normalizes the result to a 0–1 scale using cumulative min-max scaling. Values near 0 are historically cheap; values near 1 are historically expensive.
CycleBottom does not give buy or sell advice. A low risk level (below ~0.3) historically coincided with accumulation zones and a high risk level (above ~0.7) with distribution zones, but this metric is educational only and not financial advice. New Zealand Dollar's risk level is currently 0.614 (Moderate-high risk).