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As of 2026-10-19, CycleBottom rates Japanese Yen (USDJPY) at a risk level of 0.489 on a 0–1 scale — Neutral. Japanese Yen is trading at 158.0050 versus its 365-day moving average of 159.0831 (0.99× the average), which places it near fair value. Lower risk values mark historically cheaper, accumulation-friendly prices; higher values mark distribution territory. This is informational only and not financial advice.
| Risk | Zone | USD/JPY Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | 128.5908 | -18.6% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | 131.3286 | -16.9% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | 134.1247 | -15.1% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | 136.9803 | -13.3% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | 139.8967 | -11.5% |
| 0.25 | Low risk | 142.8752 | -9.6% |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | 145.9171 | -7.7% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | 149.0238 | -5.7% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | 152.1967 | -3.7% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | 155.4370 | -1.6% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | 158.7464 | +0.5% ◄ current |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | 162.1263 | +2.6% |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | 165.5781 | +4.8% |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | 169.1033 | +7.0% |
| 0.70 | High risk | 172.7037 | +9.3% |
| 0.75 | High risk | 176.3807 | +11.6% |
| 0.80 | High risk | 180.1360 | +14.0% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | 183.9712 | +16.4% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | 187.8881 | +18.9% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | 191.8884 | +21.4% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | 195.9738 | +24.0% |
As of 2026-10-19, Japanese Yen (USDJPY) has a CycleBottom risk level of 0.489 on a 0–1 scale, which is rated "Neutral". The value is updated daily.
Based on its risk level of 0.489 (0 = cheapest, 1 = most expensive), Japanese Yen is currently near fair value. It trades at 0.99× its 365-day moving average.
The risk metric takes the logarithmic deviation of price from its 365-day simple moving average, optionally applies a diminishing-returns adjustment, then normalizes the result to a 0–1 scale using cumulative min-max scaling. Values near 0 are historically cheap; values near 1 are historically expensive.
CycleBottom does not give buy or sell advice. A low risk level (below ~0.3) historically coincided with accumulation zones and a high risk level (above ~0.7) with distribution zones, but this metric is educational only and not financial advice. Japanese Yen's risk level is currently 0.489 (Neutral).