As of 2026-08-03, CycleBottom rates Canadian Dollar (USDCAD) at a risk level of 0.468 on a 0–1 scale — Neutral. Canadian Dollar is trading at 1.4029 versus its 365-day moving average of 1.3875 (1.01× the average), which places it near fair value. Lower risk values mark historically cheaper, accumulation-friendly prices; higher values mark distribution territory. This is informational only and not financial advice.
| Risk | Zone | USD/CAD Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | 1.1541 | -17.7% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | 1.1784 | -16.0% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | 1.2032 | -14.2% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | 1.2285 | -12.4% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | 1.2544 | -10.6% |
| 0.25 | Low risk | 1.2808 | -8.7% |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | 1.3078 | -6.8% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | 1.3354 | -4.8% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | 1.3635 | -2.8% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | 1.3922 | -0.8% ◄ current |
| 0.50 | Neutral | 1.4215 | +1.3% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | 1.4514 | +3.5% |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | 1.4820 | +5.6% |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | 1.5132 | +7.9% |
| 0.70 | High risk | 1.5451 | +10.1% |
| 0.75 | High risk | 1.5776 | +12.5% |
| 0.80 | High risk | 1.6109 | +14.8% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | 1.6448 | +17.2% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | 1.6794 | +19.7% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | 1.7148 | +22.2% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | 1.7509 | +24.8% |
As of 2026-08-03, Canadian Dollar (USDCAD) has a CycleBottom risk level of 0.468 on a 0–1 scale, which is rated "Neutral". The value is updated daily.
Based on its risk level of 0.468 (0 = cheapest, 1 = most expensive), Canadian Dollar is currently near fair value. It trades at 1.01× its 365-day moving average.
The risk metric takes the logarithmic deviation of price from its 365-day simple moving average, optionally applies a diminishing-returns adjustment, then normalizes the result to a 0–1 scale using cumulative min-max scaling. Values near 0 are historically cheap; values near 1 are historically expensive.
CycleBottom does not give buy or sell advice. A low risk level (below ~0.3) historically coincided with accumulation zones and a high risk level (above ~0.7) with distribution zones, but this metric is educational only and not financial advice. Canadian Dollar's risk level is currently 0.468 (Neutral).