| Risk | Zone | Cardano Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | $0.21 | -17.9% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | $0.23 | -7.5% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | $0.26 | +4.3% ◄ current |
| 0.15 | Low risk | $0.30 | +17.5% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | $0.33 | +32.5% |
| 0.25 | Low risk |
This metric estimates Cardano's risk level on a 0–1 scale using logarithmic deviation from its long-term moving average, adjusted for diminishing returns over time.
d = ln(price) - ln(MA)adjusted = d × index^0.395| $0.37 |
| +49.3% |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | $0.42 | +68.3% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | $0.48 | +89.8% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | $0.54 | +113.9% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | $0.61 | +141.1% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | $0.68 | +171.8% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | $0.77 | +206.4% |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | $0.87 | +245.4% |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | $0.98 | +289.3% |
| 0.70 | High risk | $1.10 | +338.9% |
| 0.75 | High risk | $1.24 | +394.7% |
| 0.80 | High risk | $1.40 | +457.6% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | $1.58 | +528.6% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | $1.78 | +608.6% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | $2.00 | +698.7% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | $2.26 | +800.4% |