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As of 2026-10-19, CycleBottom rates BNB (BNB) at a risk level of 0.258 on a 0–1 scale — Low risk. BNB is trading at $725.24 versus its 365-day moving average of $723.30 (1.00× the average), which places it historically undervalued (accumulation zone). Lower risk values mark historically cheaper, accumulation-friendly prices; higher values mark distribution territory. This is informational only and not financial advice.
| Risk | Zone | BNB Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | $403.93 | -44.3% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | $452.40 | -37.6% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | $506.69 | -30.1% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | $567.48 | -21.8% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | $635.58 | -12.4% |
| 0.25 | Low risk | $711.84 | -1.8% ◄ current |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | $797.25 | +9.9% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | $892.91 | +23.1% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | $1,000 | +37.9% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | $1,120 | +54.4% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | $1,254 | +73.0% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | $1,405 | +93.7% |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | $1,574 | +117.0% |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | $1,762 | +143.0% |
| 0.70 | High risk | $1,974 | +172.2% |
| 0.75 | High risk | $2,211 | +204.8% |
| 0.80 | High risk | $2,476 | +241.4% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | $2,773 | +282.4% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | $3,106 | +328.2% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | $3,478 | +379.6% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | $3,896 | +437.2% |
This metric estimates BNB's risk level on a 0–1 scale using logarithmic deviation from its long-term moving average, adjusted for diminishing returns over time.
d = ln(price) - ln(MA)adjusted = d × index^0.395As of 2026-10-19, BNB (BNB) has a CycleBottom risk level of 0.258 on a 0–1 scale, which is rated "Low risk". The value is updated daily.
Based on its risk level of 0.258 (0 = cheapest, 1 = most expensive), BNB is currently historically undervalued (accumulation zone). It trades at 1.00× its 365-day moving average.
The risk metric takes the logarithmic deviation of price from its 365-day simple moving average, optionally applies a diminishing-returns adjustment, then normalizes the result to a 0–1 scale using cumulative min-max scaling. Values near 0 are historically cheap; values near 1 are historically expensive.
CycleBottom does not give buy or sell advice. A low risk level (below ~0.3) historically coincided with accumulation zones and a high risk level (above ~0.7) with distribution zones, but this metric is educational only and not financial advice. BNB's risk level is currently 0.258 (Low risk).