As of 2026-06-19, CycleBottom rates Chainlink (LINK) at a risk level of 0.195 on a 0–1 scale — Low risk. Chainlink is trading at $8.01 versus its 365-day moving average of $13.95 (0.57× the average), which places it historically undervalued (accumulation zone). Lower risk values mark historically cheaper, accumulation-friendly prices; higher values mark distribution territory. This is informational only and not financial advice.
| Risk | Zone | Chainlink Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | $5.39 | -32.6% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | $5.97 | -25.4% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | $6.61 | -17.5% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | $7.31 | -8.7% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | $8.10 | +1.1% ◄ current |
| 0.25 | Low risk | $8.96 | +11.9% |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | $9.92 | +23.9% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | $10.98 | +37.1% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | $12.15 | +51.7% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | $13.45 | +67.9% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | $14.88 | +85.9% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | $16.47 | +105.7% |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | $18.23 | +127.7% |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | $20.18 | +152.0% |
| 0.70 | High risk | $22.33 | +178.9% |
| 0.75 | High risk | $24.72 | +208.7% |
| 0.80 | High risk | $27.36 | +241.7% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | $30.28 | +278.1% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | $33.51 | +318.5% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | $37.09 | +363.2% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | $41.05 | +412.7% |
This metric estimates Chainlink's risk level on a 0–1 scale using logarithmic deviation from its long-term moving average, adjusted for diminishing returns over time.
d = ln(price) - ln(MA)adjusted = d × index^0.395As of 2026-06-19, Chainlink (LINK) has a CycleBottom risk level of 0.195 on a 0–1 scale, which is rated "Low risk". The value is updated daily.
Based on its risk level of 0.195 (0 = cheapest, 1 = most expensive), Chainlink is currently historically undervalued (accumulation zone). It trades at 0.57× its 365-day moving average.
The risk metric takes the logarithmic deviation of price from its 365-day simple moving average, optionally applies a diminishing-returns adjustment, then normalizes the result to a 0–1 scale using cumulative min-max scaling. Values near 0 are historically cheap; values near 1 are historically expensive.
CycleBottom does not give buy or sell advice. A low risk level (below ~0.3) historically coincided with accumulation zones and a high risk level (above ~0.7) with distribution zones, but this metric is educational only and not financial advice. Chainlink's risk level is currently 0.195 (Low risk).