As of 2026-08-03, CycleBottom rates Chainlink (LINK) at a risk level of 0.247 on a 0–1 scale — Low risk. Chainlink is trading at $8.33 versus its 365-day moving average of $13.03 (0.64× the average), which places it historically undervalued (accumulation zone). Lower risk values mark historically cheaper, accumulation-friendly prices; higher values mark distribution territory. This is informational only and not financial advice.
| Risk | Zone | Chainlink Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | $5.07 | -39.2% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | $5.60 | -32.8% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | $6.20 | -25.6% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | $6.86 | -17.7% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | $7.58 | -9.0% |
| 0.25 | Low risk | $8.39 | +0.7% ◄ current |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | $9.28 | +11.4% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | $10.27 | +23.2% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | $11.36 | +36.3% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | $12.56 | +50.7% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | $13.89 | +66.7% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | $15.37 | +84.4% |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | $17.00 | +104.0% |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | $18.81 | +125.7% |
| 0.70 | High risk | $20.80 | +149.6% |
| 0.75 | High risk | $23.01 | +176.1% |
| 0.80 | High risk | $25.46 | +205.5% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | $28.16 | +237.9% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | $31.15 | +273.8% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | $34.46 | +313.5% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | $38.12 | +357.4% |
This metric estimates Chainlink's risk level on a 0–1 scale using logarithmic deviation from its long-term moving average, adjusted for diminishing returns over time.
d = ln(price) - ln(MA)adjusted = d × index^0.395As of 2026-08-03, Chainlink (LINK) has a CycleBottom risk level of 0.247 on a 0–1 scale, which is rated "Low risk". The value is updated daily.
Based on its risk level of 0.247 (0 = cheapest, 1 = most expensive), Chainlink is currently historically undervalued (accumulation zone). It trades at 0.64× its 365-day moving average.
The risk metric takes the logarithmic deviation of price from its 365-day simple moving average, optionally applies a diminishing-returns adjustment, then normalizes the result to a 0–1 scale using cumulative min-max scaling. Values near 0 are historically cheap; values near 1 are historically expensive.
CycleBottom does not give buy or sell advice. A low risk level (below ~0.3) historically coincided with accumulation zones and a high risk level (above ~0.7) with distribution zones, but this metric is educational only and not financial advice. Chainlink's risk level is currently 0.247 (Low risk).