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As of 2026-10-19, CycleBottom rates Chainlink (LINK) at a risk level of 0.525 on a 0–1 scale — Neutral. Chainlink is trading at $12.14 versus its 365-day moving average of $10.83 (1.12× the average), which places it near fair value. Lower risk values mark historically cheaper, accumulation-friendly prices; higher values mark distribution territory. This is informational only and not financial advice.
| Risk | Zone | Chainlink Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | $4.25 | -65.0% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | $4.69 | -61.3% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | $5.19 | -57.3% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | $5.73 | -52.8% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | $6.33 | -47.8% |
| 0.25 | Low risk | $7.00 | -42.3% |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | $7.74 | -36.3% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | $8.55 | -29.6% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | $9.45 | -22.2% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | $10.44 | -14.0% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | $11.54 | -4.9% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | $12.75 | +5.1% ◄ current |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | $14.09 | +16.1% |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | $15.58 | +28.3% |
| 0.70 | High risk | $17.21 | +41.8% |
| 0.75 | High risk | $19.02 | +56.7% |
| 0.80 | High risk | $21.02 | +73.2% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | $23.24 | +91.4% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | $25.68 | +111.5% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | $28.38 | +133.8% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | $31.36 | +158.4% |
This metric estimates Chainlink's risk level on a 0–1 scale using logarithmic deviation from its long-term moving average, adjusted for diminishing returns over time.
d = ln(price) - ln(MA)adjusted = d × index^0.395As of 2026-10-19, Chainlink (LINK) has a CycleBottom risk level of 0.525 on a 0–1 scale, which is rated "Neutral". The value is updated daily.
Based on its risk level of 0.525 (0 = cheapest, 1 = most expensive), Chainlink is currently near fair value. It trades at 1.12× its 365-day moving average.
The risk metric takes the logarithmic deviation of price from its 365-day simple moving average, optionally applies a diminishing-returns adjustment, then normalizes the result to a 0–1 scale using cumulative min-max scaling. Values near 0 are historically cheap; values near 1 are historically expensive.
CycleBottom does not give buy or sell advice. A low risk level (below ~0.3) historically coincided with accumulation zones and a high risk level (above ~0.7) with distribution zones, but this metric is educational only and not financial advice. Chainlink's risk level is currently 0.525 (Neutral).