| Risk | Zone | Solana Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | $39.17 | -56.5% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | $44.57 | -50.5% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | $50.70 | -43.7% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | $57.68 | -35.9% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | $65.62 | -27.1% |
| 0.25 | Low risk | $74.65 |
This metric estimates Solana's risk level on a 0–1 scale using logarithmic deviation from its long-term moving average, adjusted for diminishing returns over time.
d = ln(price) - ln(MA)adjusted = d × index^0.395| -17.1% |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | $84.93 | -5.7% ◄ current |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | $96.62 | +7.3% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | $109.92 | +22.1% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | $125.05 | +38.9% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | $142.27 | +58.0% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | $161.85 | +79.7% |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | $184.13 | +104.5% |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | $209.47 | +132.6% |
| 0.70 | High risk | $238.31 | +164.6% |
| 0.75 | High risk | $271.11 | +201.1% |
| 0.80 | High risk | $308.43 | +242.5% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | $350.89 | +289.7% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | $399.19 | +343.3% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | $454.14 | +404.3% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | $516.65 | +473.7% |