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As of 2026-10-19, CycleBottom rates Solana (SOL) at a risk level of 0.532 on a 0–1 scale — Neutral. Solana is trading at $104.61 versus its 365-day moving average of $103.10 (1.01× the average), which places it near fair value. Lower risk values mark historically cheaper, accumulation-friendly prices; higher values mark distribution territory. This is informational only and not financial advice.
| Risk | Zone | Solana Price | vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | Extreme low risk | $27.86 | -73.4% |
| 0.05 | Extreme low risk | $31.55 | -69.8% |
| 0.10 | Extreme low risk | $35.72 | -65.9% |
| 0.15 | Low risk | $40.45 | -61.3% |
| 0.20 | Low risk | $45.80 | -56.2% |
| 0.25 | Low risk | $51.87 | -50.4% |
| 0.30 | Moderate-low risk | $58.73 | -43.9% |
| 0.35 | Moderate-low risk | $66.51 | -36.4% |
| 0.40 | Moderate-low risk | $75.31 | -28.0% |
| 0.45 | Neutral | $85.28 | -18.5% |
| 0.50 | Neutral | $96.57 | -7.7% |
| 0.55 | Moderate-high risk | $109.35 | +4.5% ◄ current |
| 0.60 | Moderate-high risk | $123.82 | +18.4% |
| 0.65 | Moderate-high risk | $140.21 | +34.0% |
| 0.70 | High risk | $158.77 | +51.8% |
| 0.75 | High risk | $179.79 | +71.9% |
| 0.80 | High risk | $203.58 | +94.6% |
| 0.85 | Extreme high risk | $230.53 | +120.4% |
| 0.90 | Extreme high risk | $261.05 | +149.5% |
| 0.95 | Extreme high risk | $295.60 | +182.6% |
| 1.00 | Extreme high risk | $334.73 | +220.0% |
This metric estimates Solana's risk level on a 0–1 scale using logarithmic deviation from its long-term moving average, adjusted for diminishing returns over time.
d = ln(price) - ln(MA)adjusted = d × index^0.395As of 2026-10-19, Solana (SOL) has a CycleBottom risk level of 0.532 on a 0–1 scale, which is rated "Neutral". The value is updated daily.
Based on its risk level of 0.532 (0 = cheapest, 1 = most expensive), Solana is currently near fair value. It trades at 1.01× its 365-day moving average.
The risk metric takes the logarithmic deviation of price from its 365-day simple moving average, optionally applies a diminishing-returns adjustment, then normalizes the result to a 0–1 scale using cumulative min-max scaling. Values near 0 are historically cheap; values near 1 are historically expensive.
CycleBottom does not give buy or sell advice. A low risk level (below ~0.3) historically coincided with accumulation zones and a high risk level (above ~0.7) with distribution zones, but this metric is educational only and not financial advice. Solana's risk level is currently 0.532 (Neutral).